United States House of Representatives elections, 2022 Elections to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. Premier Franois Legault and his Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next provincial election. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. Click here to learn more about how Ballotpedia defines and calculates competitiveness figures. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964. The incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered a massive win in the last election. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Fifty-two districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election, five were open because they were newly created districts where no incumbent filed to run. The "who will control the House of Representatives" market will pay out $100 for a $350 bet. [55] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. 2022 Election Results Republicans have won the House, regaining control of the chamber for the first time since 2018. Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket. What Election Day looks like based on polls alone, What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more, What Election Day looks like when we add experts ratings to the Classic forecast. The candidate of Labour Party, Thaddeus Attah, has been declared the winner of the Eti-Osa Federal Constituency seat in the House of Representatives. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. Metadata. 51 +1. Can a moderate Republican keep holding on to a blue-trending suburban seat? Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) called for the state legislative primary to be held on August 2, 2022 (the primary was originally scheduled for May 3, 2022). In 2022, 52 districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election. Elections to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022. External Relations: Moira Delaney Hannah Nelson Caroline Presnell We rated every race in play in 2022. The generic congressional vote question does not mention specific candidates. Nov. 8, 2022, In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. You can tune in here; if you cannot make it, we will KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We now rate 218 House seats -- the magic number for winning a majority -- as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings. Toss-up to Leans R: CA-22, IL-17, IN-01, MI-07, NV-03, OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). Click here for more information about apportionment after the 2020 census. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat. 26th February 2023. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The final 2022 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. But 2022 will be a steeper climb. Republicans are enthusiastic about their chances of taking over the U.S. House of Representatives in the midterm elections of 2022. If one assumes that both parties hold each of their two currently vacant seats, we know that Democrats will be defending 222 of 435 House seats and 14 of 34 Senate seats next year, then the only predictor whose value is unknown is the generic ballot. CA-13, IN-01, MI-07, NV-01, OH-01, OH-09, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, WA-08 move to Leans Republican; CT-05, IL-17, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, NY-19, OR-06 to Leans Democratic. When candidates from only one of either the Democratic or Republican parties run for a U.S. House seat, the seat is all but guaranteed to be won by that party. A lead of that magnitude would predict a Republican gain of one seat in the House and a Democratic gain of two seats in the Senate giving Democrats a 221-214 seat majority in the House and a 52-48 seat majority in the Senate. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Candidates running for office in open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the Young Guns program. There were three vacancies. In 2022, Sablan is running as a Democrat. [52] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Incumbents filed to run in the newly created Florida's 28th and Texas' 27th Congressional Districts. We can use the results from the regression equations in Table 2 to generate conditional forecasts of seat swing in the 2022 House and Senate elections. The most vulnerable GOP incumbent in the country might be Rep. Mike Garcia, whose district north of Los Angeles voted for President Joe Biden by 13 points. Based on the Senate results, a one-point increase or decrease in the generic ballot margin for the presidents party would be expected to produce a swing of about 0.2 seats and every additional seat defended by the presidents party would be expected to produce a net loss of more than 0.8 seats. Two predictors largely explain the variation in seat swing in midterm elections: the generic ballot and the number of House and Senate seats defended by the presidents party. 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