The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . All rights reserved. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. More from. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. or redistributed. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. While Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes is narrowly preferred over incumbent Ron Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, Johnson's supporters have the enthusiasm. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. In his order, Judge Juan Colas wrote that Wisconsin elections have been conducted for 56 years without a legally binding definition of what constitutes a witness address on a ballot. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. The Nov. 8 election is a little more than two weeks away, and we're wrapping up our coverage of the candidates . The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. He is someone who cares about people like me." AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. Heres how you can help. This week . When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Home; News. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Market data provided by Factset. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Johnson got a boost from voters'. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. S en. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. Legal Statement. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. Hungry? Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. The latest poll shows that among registered voters, Evers is leading Michels 46% to 41%, with Beglinger at 7%. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. Photograph: Morry Gash/AP Ron Johnson's campaign of 'race and fear' is affecting Senate race that. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. A Fox News survey of. Most young men are single. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. Morry Gash/Associated Press Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. 4:12. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. Ukraine News. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. . The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. 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